A decision by Donald Trump’s campaign strategists to concentrate their efforts on reaching out to hardcore Republicans could turn out to be a fatal error according to election experts.
According to a recent report from Gallup which has been tracking party affiliations, both major parties are bleeding voters who strongly identify with their respective parties but Republicans are faring far worse.
That makes Trump’s pool of voters who will actually turn out limited at a time when he and his campaign should be reaching out to the growing numbers who call themselves independents.
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As Newsweek reported, “As of February 2024, when the latest data is available, 28 percent say they are Republicans, while 30 percent say they are Democrats, showing Republican’s base declining,” political scientist Todd Landman at the School of Politics and International Relations at the University of Nottingham in the U.K. said Republicans have the larger problem of the two.
“The stakes are thus high for both parties in the runup to the November election, and both parties need to draw from the independents to assure victory. The Biden campaign has so far sought to reach out to these independents, while the Trump campaign appears to be retrenching to the solid base of supporters, which mathematically may be the wrong strategy to win the election,” Landman explained.
Mark Shanahan of the University of Surrey in the U.K agreed and blamed the problem on candidate Trump as the main sticking point for potential voters.
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“His MAGA base remains large, and largely unquestioning, and guarantees him 30 to 35 percent of the vote come November. But the impact of Trump on politics has been a turn-off for many millions of Americans, and the traditional parties seem weaker, and less of a draw, than for decades,” he explained. “While the Trump GOP has a very strong core, it’s not the traditional Main Street Republicans of the pre-Tea Party era. The party now appeals to wealthy beneficiaries of his economic policies as well as to those who’ve seen themselves on the outside of politics for decades. It’s a loose and odd alliance that has lost much of America’s centre.”
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Source: alternet.org
